下列风险度量方法中，建立在概率基础上的方法有（）。（多选题） 

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SQL Error: select id,body,options from ***_enewstiku_ where sourceid='69452' and id < 4497806 and id<>'4497806' order by id desc limit 5 SQL Error: select id,body,options from ***_enewstiku_ where sourceid='69452' and id > 4497806 and id<>'4497806' order by id asc limit 5